Seven of Conor McGregor’s last eight fights have not made it out of the second round. McGregor is hoping that this trend continues with a quick knockout over his UFC 229 opponent Khabib Nurmagomedov Saturday night.
A wager on McGregor winning the fight in the first round is going off at +400 on the UFC 229 prop bets at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. An early knockout for McGregor is clearly the superstar’s best chance at a victory on Saturday. A second round McGregor win would pay +650, and then the odds decrease heavily as McGregor in Round 3 pays +1400, McGregor in Round 4 pays +2500, and McGregor in Round 5 pays +3600. McGregor by points would pay +900.
On the other hand, the most likely path to victory according to this proposition for Khabib Nurmagomedov is a victory on points, which would pay +400. Five of Nurmagomedov’s last seven fights have gone to the cards for a decision win. A Nurmagomedov win in Round 1 would pay +500, Round 2 +550, Round 3 +650, Round 4 +900, and Round 5 +1200.
The total on this fight is set at 2.5 rounds on the Khabib vs. McGregor odds, with the UNDER going off as a slight underdog at -140 while the OVER 2.5 rounds pays +100. Bettors who believe this will be a quick fight can bet that the fight will not complete the first round at +190, with the alternative wager that it will complete the first round paying -280.
The fight completing the second round is a much tougher call as both “Yes” and “No” are paying -120. The UFC 229 Main Event is a -475 favorite to not go the distance and would pay +285 if it does.
McGregor’s odds to win the fight are sitting at +125 at sportsbooks. Paying just slightly better than that are his odds to win the fight by knockout, TKO or disqualification at +165. Nurmagomedov is a -155 favorite to win the fight in any fashion, though bettors that want to bet on his method of victory can get him at +400 to win by decision, +300 to win by knockout, and +205 to win by submission.
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